Memorable-Maelstrom
0xc289082ddba5a95e95efa216adbed7cc8ab4ab37
Memorable-Maelstrom: −$21K on 38 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 26%–55%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$21K
return −11.5%
Settled bets
38
$180K staked
Won
39.5%
95% range 26%–55%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 38 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$13K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$14K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$22K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 54¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06? |
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06? | $2.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes
@ 29¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-05? |
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-05? | $5.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Over
@ 49¢
Kosovo vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 |
Kosovo vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | $5.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 69¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03? | $10K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 64¢
Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03? | $10K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 40¢
Will Finland win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Finland win on 2026-10-03? | $10K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 29¢
Will Albania win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Albania win on 2026-10-03? | $9.5K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Yes
@ 42¢
Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02? |
Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02? | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.