Decisive-Cheek

0xccfcb94c4ba75e60be739a41b8cbaa3e40d3d636

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Decisive-Cheek: +$10 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 61%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$10
return +0.1%
Settled bets
6
$8.8K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 61%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$4
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$6
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY Partizan @ 99.9¢
Partizan vs. Mega Mozzart
Partizan vs. Mega Mozzart $1.1K
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? $2.5K
Oct 1 BUY No @ 99.8¢
Will Maldives win on 2026-10-01?
Will Maldives win on 2026-10-01? $1.2K
Sep 18 BUY Atlanta Dream @ 99.9¢
Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream
Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream $1.2K
Sep 15 BUY Amsterdam Flames @ 99.9¢
European T20 Premier League: Amsterdam Flames vs Dublin Guardians
European T20 Premier League: Amsterdam Flames vs Dublin Guardians $1.8K
Sep 9 BUY Isaac Moreno @ 99.9¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Isaac Moreno vs. Reginaldo Junior (Welterweight, Main Card)
Dana White's Contender Series: Isaac Moreno vs. Reginaldo Junior (Welterweight, Main Card) $1.0K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed