Murky-Survival-Delight
0xe6ca6ebbec97e8a46ff3dbdb2a99d46254fbbff4
Murky-Survival-Delight: −$744K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$744K
return −29.4%
Settled bets
7
$2.53M staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$744K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 68¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $11K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 69¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $25K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 69¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $102K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 59¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? |
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | $64K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 60¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? |
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | $265K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Yes
@ 66¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? |
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | $10K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | $1.0K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | $143K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.