0x8ae5…4f22

0x8ae599cc1fdeb17c95e2af00bd75a38034bd4f22

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

0x8ae5…4f22: +$1.0K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 19% (95% range 8%–40%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.0K
return +12.1%
Settled bets
21
$8.5K staked
Won
19.0%
95% range 8%–40%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$1
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$1.8K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$784
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Galatasaray SK O/U 0.5
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Galatasaray SK O/U 0.5 $1.2K
Oct 9 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-10-09?
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-10-09? $1.0K
Oct 9 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-10-09?
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-10-09? $1.3K
Oct 3 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Spain vs. Czechia: Spain O/U 1.5
Spain vs. Czechia: Spain O/U 1.5 $2.0K
Oct 3 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Spain vs. Czechia: Spain O/U 2.5
Spain vs. Czechia: Spain O/U 2.5 $2.0K
Oct 3 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: SD Eibar O/U 0.5
Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: SD Eibar O/U 0.5 $2.0K
Oct 3 BUY Yes @ 80¢
Fortaleza EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: Both Teams to Score
Fortaleza EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: Both Teams to Score $1.2K
Oct 3 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-09-13?
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-09-13? $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed