Feisty-Mention
0x4d3079bd4c73bc0e8f7d9f64a9f64fadbd17a42d
Profit
−$257K
return −21.4%
Settled bets
59
$1.20M staked
Won
40.7%
95% range 29%–53%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 59 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$100K
Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$155K
Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$2.3K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | Bought Under
at 42¢
Croatia vs. England: O/U 2.5 |
Croatia vs. England: O/U 2.5 | $5.8K |
| Sep 25 | Bought Over
at 55¢
Italy vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 |
Italy vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 | $7.5K |
| Sep 25 | Bought No
at 49¢
Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? |
Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? | $2.0K |
| Sep 25 | Bought No
at 49¢
Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? |
Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? | $11K |
| Sep 25 | Bought No
at 48¢
Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? |
Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? | $3.7K |
| Sep 20 | Bought Yes
at 49¢
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-09-20? | $2.0K |
| Sep 20 | Bought Yes
at 49¢
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-09-20? | $4.4K |
| Sep 20 | Bought Yes
at 49¢
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-20? |
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-20? | $2.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.