0xe051…df86
Skill vs luck
0xe051…df86 on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 19%–81%) · profit +$1.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0xe051…df86: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe05173d9dfb3469ceeff73228aea66ed16dfdf86. Data CC BY 4.0.
0xe051…df86: +$1.7K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$1.7K
In the live feed
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | SELL Oilers
@ 95¢
Oilers vs. Utah |
Oilers vs. Utah | $6.7K |
| Oct 18 | BUY Over
@ 57¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5 |
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5 | $2.9K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Over @ 52¢ | Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5 ↗ | $4.3K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Yes @ 53¢ | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $4.4K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Over
@ 52¢
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 |
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 | $3.9K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Avalanche
@ 36¢
Penguins vs. Avalanche |
Penguins vs. Avalanche | $2.3K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?