Whole-Command
0xec5c8d5ba82458ae5c02d886f090d71f5985ce46
Whole-Command: −$2.6K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 21%–59%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$2.6K
return −13.8%
Settled bets
21
$19K staked
Won
38.1%
95% range 21%–59%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$1.4K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$320
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$3.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Yes
@ 19¢
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11? |
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11? | $1.0K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Yes
@ 62¢
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11? |
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11? | $3.0K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Yes
@ 54¢
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-11? |
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-11? | $1.2K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Yes
@ 94¢
Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? |
Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? | $2.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 42¢
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-09? | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 70¢
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-09? | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Yes
@ 94¢
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09? | $1.6K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 59¢
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09? | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.