Superior-Artificer-Heifer

0x6055af2b735b5840988c2d1025c74981dd2c5fde

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Superior-Artificer-Heifer: −$2.9K on 101 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 61% (95% range 52%–70%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$2.9K
return −1.4%
Settled bets
101
$205K staked
Won
61.4%
95% range 52%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 83 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$2.6K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$2.4K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$2.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY @ 67¢
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-3.5) AND Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-10-09? AND Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-10-09?
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-3.5) AND Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-10-09? AND Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-10-09? $2.0K
Oct 9 BUY @ 37¢
Spread: Arsenal FC (-3.5) AND Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5) AND Spread: SSC Napoli (-3.5) AND Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5) AND Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5) AND Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-2.5) AND Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) AND Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5) AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-10? AND Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-10? AND Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10?
Spread: Arsenal FC (-3.5) AND Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5) AND Spread: SSC Napoli (-3.5) AND Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5) AND Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5) AND Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-2.5) AND Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) AND Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5) AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-10? AND Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-10? AND Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10? $1.9K
Oct 9 BUY @ 50¢
Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5) AND Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10? AND Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09? AND Will Sutton United FC win on 2026-10-09? AND Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-09?
Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5) AND Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10? AND Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09? AND Will Sutton United FC win on 2026-10-09? AND Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-09? $2.9K
Oct 9 BUY Hubert Hurkacz @ 70¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz $2.0K
Oct 8 BUY Yunchaokete Bu @ 64¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete Bu
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete Bu $1.0K
Oct 7 BUY Jacksonville State @ 74¢
Spread: Kennesaw State (-4.5)
Spread: Kennesaw State (-4.5) $2.0K
Oct 7 BUY Chicago White Sox @ 76¢
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) $2.0K
Oct 4 BUY @ 69¢
Spread: Kosovo (-1.5) AND Spread: Israel (-1.5) AND Spread: Greece (-1.5) AND Spread: Norway (-1.5) AND Will Serbia win on 2026-10-04?
Spread: Kosovo (-1.5) AND Spread: Israel (-1.5) AND Spread: Greece (-1.5) AND Spread: Norway (-1.5) AND Will Serbia win on 2026-10-04? $9.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed