Polymarket market · Sports

Lakers vs. Warriors

Resolved: Warriors won · See it on Polymarket ↗

59 whales traded $381K on this market since Oct 30, 53% of their buying on Warriors. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 3.4¢ more per share, with 90% of the size there to buy. Warriors won, with 53% of the whale buying on it. Of the 47 whales whose whole position we captured, 21 made +$110K and 26 lost −$140K: −$30K between them. Biggest win: Embellished-Lecture, +$29K on Warriors. Biggest loss: Substantial-Service, −$43K on Lakers.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 59
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
1,124 settled bets Beat the odds*
Lakers @ 53¢ $50K — −$43K
Functional-Knee-Beck
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lakers @ 73¢ $38K — −$38K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,516 settled bets Beat the odds*
Warriors @ 65¢ $35K — +$19K
Scary-Fannypack
327 settled bets Beat the odds*
Lakers @ 61¢ $32K — +$7.0K
Dizzy-Coliseum
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 92¢ $29K — +$2.6K
Embellished-Lecture
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 45¢ $24K — +$29K
Regular-Gallon
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 93¢ $15K — −$1.6K
All-Peasant-Drug
1,202 settled bets Worse than the odds
Warriors @ 28¢ $11K $1.4K +$27K
Trivial-Ravioli
338 settled bets Worse than the odds
Warriors @ 97¢ $10K — +$347
0x62e5…f547
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $9.2K —
Normal-Distance-Apparatus
11 settled bets Worse than the odds
Lakers @ 56¢ $9.2K — −$9.2K
Inconsequential-Archeology
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 96¢ $7.7K — +$348
Heartfelt-Discipline
3 settled bets Too few bets
Lakers @ 93¢ $6.7K — −$6.7K
Grateful-Chest
314 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 81¢ $6.5K — +$1.5K
Noisy-Word
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 67¢ $5.8K — +$2.8K
0x1bc3…dc6e
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 93¢ $5.4K — −$725
Prickly-Barrel
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lakers @ 77¢ $5.2K — −$5.2K
Fake-Bitter
1,610 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lakers @ 57¢ $5.1K — −$5.1K
Fitting-Award
21 settled bets Too few bets
Lakers @ 75¢ $2.3K $2.4K +$156
Glass-Treat
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 93¢ $4.4K — +$314
Considerate-Riverbed
4 settled bets Too few bets
Lakers @ 56¢ $3.8K — −$3.8K
Limited-Dragonfruit
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lakers @ 78¢ $3.8K — −$3.8K
Yummy-Orchard-Harm
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 29¢ $3.6K — +$9.1K
Optimistic-Version
15 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.8K —
Far-Precipitation
144 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lakers @ 56¢ $2.7K — −$2.7K

Where the whale money went

  1. Warriors won
    $186K
    53% of whale buying · 23 buyers · $23K sold
  2. Lakers lost
    $164K
    47% of whale buying · 28 buyers · $8.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 30 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793430041).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Spread: Lakers (-3.5) $51K 15 Won: Warriors
Nuggets vs. Suns $475K 31 Won: Nuggets
Rockets vs. Mavericks $287K 36 Won: Mavericks
Magic vs. Raptors $78K 16 Won: Magic
Knicks vs. 76ers $236K 32 Won: 76ers
Pacers vs. Heat $93K 16 Won: Heat
Jets vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5 $141K 3 Won: Over
Hornets vs. Wizards $157K 25 Won: Wizards
About this data · run 1793430041, computed 2026-10-31 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793430041 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed