Inconsequential-Archeology

0xfcf80bfd59001d39e8d16559739e686830e9d32c

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Inconsequential-Archeology: +$2.3K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 86% (95% range 49%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.3K
return +14.6%
Settled bets
7
$16K staked
Won
85.7%
95% range 49%–97%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 25 – Oct 14
+$2.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.7% (2,280 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 14 BUY Caty McNally @ 55¢
Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNally
Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNally $1.0K
Oct 13 BUY Yes @ 64¢
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13? $1.3K
Oct 12 BUY Over @ 99¢
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5 $1.6K
Oct 12 BUY Over @ 96¢
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5 $1.9K
Oct 11 BUY Seahawks @ 63¢
49ers vs. Seahawks
49ers vs. Seahawks $1.1K
Oct 11 BUY 49ers @ 45¢
49ers vs. Seahawks
49ers vs. Seahawks $1.0K
Oct 11 BUY Under @ 98¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 7.5
Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 7.5 $4.0K
Oct 11 BUY Yes @ 82¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11?
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11? $2.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791961222, computed 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791961222 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed