Far-Precipitation
0x4df332e27f9ee3224f52ce30e3ce15c1075e788f
Far-Precipitation: +$1.8K on 65 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 43%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$1.8K
return +1.0%
Settled bets
65
$180K staked
Won
55.4%
95% range 43%–67%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 65 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$6.0K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$859
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$3.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Over
@ 42¢
Iowa State vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 |
Iowa State vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Nets
@ 48¢
Spread: 76ers (-8.5) |
Spread: 76ers (-8.5) | $1.2K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Packers
@ 38¢
Spread: Packers (-5.5) |
Spread: Packers (-5.5) | $1.0K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Over
@ 50¢
Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 42.5 |
Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 42.5 | $1.3K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Bears
@ 55¢
Spread: Eagles (-5.5) |
Spread: Eagles (-5.5) | $1.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Cowboys
@ 53¢
Spread: Ravens (-3.5) |
Spread: Ravens (-3.5) | $1.2K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Over
@ 49¢
Chargers vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 |
Chargers vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 | $1.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Bengals
@ 44¢
Spread: Bengals (-4.5) |
Spread: Bengals (-4.5) | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.