Considerate-Riverbed
Skill vs luck
Considerate-Riverbed on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 57% (95% range 25%–84%) · profit −$1.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Considerate-Riverbed: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x43a95870fbe3acb4136ab6dbf229d4f0bcb8043b. Data CC BY 4.0.
Considerate-Riverbed: −$1.9K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 25%–84%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- −$1.9K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | BUY Thunder @ 44¢ | Thunder vs. Rockets ↗ | $6.5K |
| Oct 31 | BUY LYON @ 65¢ | LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $3.2K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Hornets
@ 49¢
Spread: 76ers (-1.5) |
Spread: 76ers (-1.5) | $3.4K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 65¢ | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $9.9K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Over
@ 48¢
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5 |
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5 | $2.5K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Over
@ 48¢
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5 |
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5 | $1.8K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Lakers @ 56¢ | Lakers vs. Warriors ↗ | $3.8K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.