Embellished-Lecture
0xebfdb8164f0e0748818d6c7a9ac85a323267fd63
Embellished-Lecture: −$11K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$11K
return −40.3%
Settled bets
4
$27K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Oct 1 – Oct 15
- −$11K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −4.5%
(2,043 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14 | SELL Belinda Bencic
@ 10¢
Wuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Belinda Bencic |
Wuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Belinda Bencic | $2.1K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Belinda Bencic
@ 37¢
Wuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Belinda Bencic |
Wuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Belinda Bencic | $5.0K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Lakers
@ 58¢
Warriors vs. Lakers |
Warriors vs. Lakers | $3.5K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Lakers
@ 59¢
Warriors vs. Lakers |
Warriors vs. Lakers | $6.2K |
| Oct 13 | BUY Thiago Cigarran
@ 27¢
Santa Cruz 2: Thiago Cigarran vs Nicolas Kicker |
Santa Cruz 2: Thiago Cigarran vs Nicolas Kicker | $2.0K |
| Oct 13 | BUY Mia Pohankova
@ 72¢
Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang |
Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang | $9.9K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.