Polymarket market · Sports

Spread: Lakers (-3.5)

Resolved: Warriors won · See it on Polymarket ↗

15 whales traded $51K on this market since Oct 30, 78% of their buying on Lakers. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Warriors won, with 22% of the whale buying on it. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$10K and 12 lost −$39K: −$29K between them. Biggest win: Vivid-Ski, +$7.2K on Warriors. Biggest loss: Creepy-Infix, −$7.4K on Lakers.

The whales on this market

15 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Vivid-Ski
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 53¢ $8.1K — +$7.2K
Creepy-Infix
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lakers @ 49¢ $7.4K — −$7.4K
Harmless-Xylophone
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lakers @ 49¢ $6.7K — −$6.7K
Both-Shorts
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lakers @ 49¢ $5.4K — −$5.4K
Wry-Coke
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lakers @ 48¢ $4.7K — −$4.7K
Essential-Proprietor
4 settled bets Too few bets
Lakers @ 49¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Well-Made-Distinction
9 settled bets Too few bets
Lakers @ 48¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Fake-Bitter
1,666 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 51¢ $2.2K — +$2.1K
All-Peasant-Drug
1,231 settled bets Worse than the odds
Lakers @ 71¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Wry-Railing
9 settled bets Too few bets
Lakers @ 48¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Probable-Eating
4 settled bets Too few bets
Lakers @ 47¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Comradeship
4 settled bets Too few bets
Lakers @ 49¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Far-Precipitation
149 settled bets Beat the odds*
Lakers @ 47¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Powerless-Savannah
3,176 settled bets Beat the odds*
Lakers @ 47¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Positive-Console
88 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Warriors @ 52¢ $1.0K — +$960

Where the whale money went

  1. Lakers lost
    $39K
    78% of whale buying · 12 buyers
  2. Warriors won
    $11K
    22% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 30 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Lakers vs. Warriors $381K 59 Won: Warriors
Rockets vs. Mavericks $287K 36 Won: Mavericks
Nuggets vs. Suns $475K 31 Won: Nuggets
Magic vs. Raptors $78K 16 Won: Magic
Knicks vs. 76ers $236K 32 Won: 76ers
Pacers vs. Heat $93K 16 Won: Heat
Jets vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5 $141K 3 Won: Over
Hornets vs. Wizards $157K 25 Won: Wizards
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed