Polymarket market · Sports

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

36 whales put $2.82M into this market since Sep 8, 68% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 34 whales whose whole position we captured, 20 made +$1.08M and 14 lost −$883K: +$193K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 36
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Busy-Wolf-Spectacle
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 64¢ $1.37M — +$770K
Unwilling-Trade
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 37¢ $801K — −$801K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 62¢ $283K — +$163K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 63¢ $79K — +$47K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 63¢ $47K — +$27K
Unwieldy-Supporter
434 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 61¢ $47K — +$30K
Wiry-Estuary
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 36¢ $30K — −$30K
Wan-Flash
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 63¢ $18K — −$1.8K
Hateful-Volunteer
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 64¢ $16K — +$9.0K
Taut-Semicolon
181 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 38¢ $15K — −$15K
Idolized-Acquaintance
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 64¢ $12K — +$6.5K
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 62¢ $11K — +$4.4K
0x78be…bde0
194 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 38¢ $10K — −$10K
Miserable-Poison
1,032 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 62¢ $9.2K — +$1.3K
Infamous-Ocelot
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 62¢ $9.0K — +$5.5K
Remote-Kingdom
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 39¢ $8.5K — −$8.5K
Runny-Wait-Gynaecology
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 93¢ $6.6K — +$497
Pristine-Hatred
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 60¢ $6.0K — +$4.0K
Agitated-Bricklaying
493 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 40¢ $5.9K — −$5.9K
Edible-Gum
142 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 62¢ $5.0K — +$3.1K
True-Counsel
33 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 99.9¢ $4.9K — +$5
Wiry-Investigator
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 92¢ $3.3K — +$283
Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 62¢ $3.1K — +$1.9K
Virtuous-Shackle
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 60¢ $2.9K — +$1.9K
Zesty-Credit-Maniac
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 40¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $1.92M
    68% of whale buying · 21 buyers · $1.8K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $900K
    32% of whale buying · 17 buyers · $2.6K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 8 to Sep 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed