Idolized-Acquaintance
0x9e161cf45572279b5dad0e03b3eece250c84a795
Idolized-Acquaintance: −$39K on 40 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 35%–65%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$39K
return −12.6%
Settled bets
40
$308K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 35%–65%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 23 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$38K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$2.9K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$2.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 83¢
Will Chile win on 2026-09-26? |
Will Chile win on 2026-09-26? | $7.4K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Under
@ 91¢
Deportivo Pereira vs. Internacional de Bogotá: O/U 4.5 |
Deportivo Pereira vs. Internacional de Bogotá: O/U 4.5 | $6.8K |
| Sep 24 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-09-24? |
Will Uruguay win on 2026-09-24? | $6.4K |
| Sep 20 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-09-20? | $14K |
| Sep 20 | BUY No
@ 76¢
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-09-20? |
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-09-20? | $5.0K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5 |
ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5 | $5.9K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 64¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | $12K |
| Sep 18 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-09-18? |
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-09-18? | $12K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.