Infamous-Ocelot

0x7ea571c40408f340c1c8fc8eaacebab53c1bde7b

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Infamous-Ocelot: +$35K on 36 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 59%–86%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$35K
return +23.2%
Settled bets
36
$151K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 59%–86%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 36 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$4.4K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$26K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$4.7K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY No @ 96¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-06?
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-06? $2.2K
Oct 6 BUY Spain @ 98¢
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) $1.3K
Oct 6 BUY Spain @ 98¢
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) $1.3K
Oct 6 BUY Spain @ 98¢
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) $1.3K
Oct 4 BUY Bills @ 74¢
Patriots vs. Bills
Patriots vs. Bills $3.8K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 99.3¢
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-10-03?
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-10-03? $1.0K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 99.2¢
Will India win on 2026-10-03?
Will India win on 2026-10-03? $1.0K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 99.2¢
Will India win on 2026-10-03?
Will India win on 2026-10-03? $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed