Virtuous-Shackle
0x8adc5aceb4718b2972e34dfffa45d58b56b5bafc
Virtuous-Shackle: +$6.5K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 69% (95% range 42%–87%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$6.5K
return +18.8%
Settled bets
13
$35K staked
Won
69.2%
95% range 42%–87%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$7.3K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$8.1K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$5.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Paper Rex
@ 65¢
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $1.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Paper Rex
@ 65¢
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $1.7K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Chiefs
@ 71¢
Colts vs. Chiefs |
Colts vs. Chiefs | $4.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Over
@ 48¢
Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 51.5 |
Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 51.5 | $3.8K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Joshua Van
@ 59¢
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) |
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | $2.9K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Florida
@ 55¢
Florida vs. Auburn |
Florida vs. Auburn | $3.0K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 60¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | $2.9K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Gen.G
@ 63¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.