Wiry-Investigator
0xe4a7b5c3b60bbbaf33e4cf6d0fb5ddc3e3a2dc87
Wiry-Investigator: +$318 on 63 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 43%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$318
return +0.1%
Settled bets
63
$327K staked
Won
55.6%
95% range 43%–67%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 60 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$28K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$25K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$3.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | BUY Rams
@ 44¢
Spread: Rams (-7.5) |
Spread: Rams (-7.5) | $12K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Conventus Stellarum
@ 49¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Seahawks
@ 45¢
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5) |
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5) | $10K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Seahawks
@ 47¢
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) |
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | $1.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Seahawks
@ 45¢
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5) |
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5) | $1.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Cowboys
@ 48¢
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) |
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) | $1.1K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Cloud9
@ 27¢
LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs |
LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | $4.2K |
| Sep 19 | BUY New York Mets
@ 49¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets |
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | $7.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.