Wan-Flash
0x709e8dcb133555794decc598e07f2c923b8366f5
Wan-Flash: −$41K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 27%–73%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$41K
return −41.6%
Settled bets
14
$98K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 27%–73%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$9.6K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$11K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$20K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | BUY NC State
@ 82¢
Appalachian State vs. NC State |
Appalachian State vs. NC State | $2.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY KC
@ 51¢
Spread: KC (-5.5) |
Spread: KC (-5.5) | $20K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 36¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | $7.8K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 63¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | $10K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Yes
@ 71¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11? |
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11? | $1.5K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Yes
@ 47¢
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11? |
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11? | $8.1K |
| Sep 11 | BUY No
@ 55¢
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-09-06? |
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-09-06? | $13K |
| Sep 5 | BUY No
@ 57¢
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-09-05? |
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-09-05? | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.