Polymarket market · Sports

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

39 whales put $389K into this market since Aug 23, 82% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 31 whales whose whole position we captured, 25 made +$161K and 6 lost −$63K: +$99K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 39
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Likely-Flag
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 66¢ $100K — +$52K
Short-Term-Valance
107 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 64¢ $64K — +$36K
Dual-Criticism
66 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 66¢ $46K — +$24K
Pristine-Hatred
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 37¢ $44K — −$44K
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 67¢ $14K — +$7.1K
Oblong-Subsection
10 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 56¢ $12K — +$9.1K
Foolish-Mango
222 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 35¢ $11K — −$11K
Dull-Creation
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 66¢ $7.9K — +$4.1K
Accurate-Discretion
5 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 66¢ $7.1K — +$3.7K
Kosher-Refuse
275 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 64¢ $7.1K — +$4.0K
Joyful-Ellipse
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 64¢ $7.1K — +$4.0K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 45¢ $4.8K — −$3.0K
Shameful-Delay
119 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 65¢ $4.7K — +$2.5K
0xf382…3663
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.4K —
Miserable-Poison
955 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 41¢ $4.3K — −$979
Monstrous-Dew
325 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 64¢ $3.7K — +$2.1K
Made-Up-Remnant
40 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $3.7K —
Crowded-Jackal
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 65¢ $3.0K — +$1.6K
Crazy-Employee-Oxford
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 65¢ $3.0K — +$1.6K
0x3be2…91a0
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.9K —
Excited-Bond
26 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 64¢ $2.8K — +$1.6K
Unlined-Observation
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.7K —
Giant-Min-God
23 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 82¢ $1.2K $1.5K —
Illustrious-Pinecone
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.3K —
0x1372…4ce0
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 95¢ $2.0K — +$102

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $303K
    82% of whale buying · 27 buyers · $15K sold
  2. No lost
    $59K
    16% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  3. No lost
    $6.4K
    2% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $5.6K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 23 to Aug 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed