Polymarket market · Sports
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
Resolved: Carlos Alcaraz won · See it on Polymarket ↗
12 whales put $94K into this market since Aug 30, 49% of their buying on Carlos Alcaraz. Carlos Alcaraz won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$2.9K and 4 lost −$41K: −$38K between them.
The whales on this market
12 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trivial-Ravioli
228 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 96¢ | $57K | — | −$31K |
| Distant-Pomelo
127 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $10K | — |
| Gummy-Principle
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 80¢ | $6.0K | — | −$6.0K |
| Illustrious-Pinecone
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 82¢ | $1.7K | $1.7K | — |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 80¢ | $3.3K | — | +$817 |
| Tinted-Text
159 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 82¢ | $2.5K | — | +$556 |
| Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Roman Safiullin @ 4¢ | $2.4K | — | −$2.4K |
| Revolving-Wallet
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 80¢ | $2.4K | — | +$600 |
| Defensive-Quartz
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 84¢ | $2.0K | — | +$382 |
| Each-Summary
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 80¢ | $1.6K | — | +$400 |
| Short-Term-Valance
107 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 81¢ | $1.6K | — | −$1.6K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 89¢ | $1.5K | — | +$183 |
Where the whale money went
-
Carlos Alcaraz lost$40K49% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $1.7K sold
-
Carlos Alcaraz won$39K48% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $10K sold
-
Roman Safiullin lost$2.4K3% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 30 to Aug 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).