Polymarket market · Sports

Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗

6 whales put $53K into this market since Aug 31, 90% of their buying on Under. Under won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$19K and 1 lost −$1.7K: +$17K between them.

The whales on this market

6 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Oblong-Subsection
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $18K —
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 55¢ $13K — +$11K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 70¢ $13K — +$5.6K
Miserable-Poison
955 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 61¢ $5.0K — +$488
Lumpy-Video
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 45¢ $2.0K — +$2.4K
Weepy-Historian
2 settled bets Too few bets
Over @ 55¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K

Where the whale money went

  1. Under won
    $32K
    90% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $18K sold
  2. Over lost
    $1.7K
    5% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. Under lost
    $1.7K
    5% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed