Likely-Flag
0x34dd4a4b70eaf79a17878f7938263c801d4dfd83
Likely-Flag: +$309K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 25%–75%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$309K
return +34.0%
Settled bets
12
$908K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 25%–75%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$309K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31 | BUY Yes
@ 66¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? | $67K |
| Aug 31 | BUY Yes
@ 66¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? | $33K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Yes
@ 71¢
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30? |
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30? | $21K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Yes
@ 69¢
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30? |
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30? | $18K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Yes
@ 68¢
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30? |
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30? | $2.0K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Yes
@ 70¢
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30? |
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30? | $27K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Yes
@ 70¢
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30? |
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30? | $4.5K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Yes
@ 70¢
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30? |
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30? | $27K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.