Excited-Bond
0x9ef9406884d0056b356e811e05cf497008de2052
Excited-Bond: +$13K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 32%–68%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$13K
return +47.0%
Settled bets
26
$29K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 32%–68%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$1.8K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$8.5K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$3.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 91¢
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-08? |
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-08? | $6.9K |
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 52¢
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-08? |
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-08? | $1.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Over
@ 83¢
India vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 |
India vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Over
@ 72¢
Portugal vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 |
Portugal vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | $2.0K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Yes
@ 99.5¢
Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | $2.4K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 83¢
Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | $2.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 38¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $8.3K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Over
@ 99¢
Argentina vs. Bolivia: O/U 2.5 |
Argentina vs. Bolivia: O/U 2.5 | $3.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.