Polymarket market · Sports

US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev

Resolved: Andrey Rublev won · See it on Polymarket ↗

18 whales put $116K into this market since Aug 31, 94% of their buying on Andrey Rublev. Andrey Rublev won. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$46K and 3 lost −$5.2K: +$41K between them.

The whales on this market

18 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Overcooked-Enthusiasm
16 settled bets Beat the odds*
Andrey Rublev @ 78¢ $23K — +$6.5K
0x760f…326a
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Andrey Rublev @ 44¢ $20K — +$26K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
405 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $20K —
Lucky-Vision
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Andrey Rublev @ 59¢ $14K — +$9.9K
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Andrey Rublev @ 82¢ $7.3K — +$1.6K
Sore-Sneaker-Sombrero
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Andrey Rublev @ 84¢ $4.8K — +$917
Virtuous-Lye
87 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.5K —
Vigilant-Forever
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Andrey Rublev @ 95¢ $4.4K — +$230
0x351f…b0d8
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.8K —
Fluid-Spider-Clank
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.8K —
Snappy-Basketball
246 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Otto Virtanen @ 25¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Concrete-Vampire
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.6K —
Comfortable-Committee
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K —
Slow-Escape
321 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Otto Virtanen @ 18¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds*
Andrey Rublev @ 65¢ $1.3K — +$681
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Andrey Rublev @ 66¢ $1.2K — +$621
Delayed-Cardboard
13 settled bets Too few bets
Andrey Rublev @ 95¢ $1.2K — +$63
Dry-Gather
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Otto Virtanen @ 23¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Andrey Rublev won
    $78K
    94% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $32K sold
  2. Otto Virtanen lost
    $5.2K
    6% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $1.6K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed