Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A

Resolved: M80 won · See it on Polymarket ↗

37 whales put $291K into this market since Aug 25, 75% of their buying on Natus Vincere. M80 won. Of the 29 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$80K and 23 lost −$104K: −$25K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 37
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Criminal-Meatball
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
M80 @ 21¢ $15K $71K +$56K
Grandiose-Bead
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
M80 @ 21¢ $2.1K $22K —
Faint-Business
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
M80 @ 32¢ $1.0K $22K —
Cluttered-Device
3 settled bets Too few bets
Natus Vincere @ 70¢ $22K — −$22K
Homely-Modernist
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 70¢ $12K — −$12K
Flaky-Integer
218 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 72¢ $12K — −$3.3K
Charming-Instrumentalist
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck
M80 @ 49¢ $2.3K $8.4K —
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Natus Vincere @ 66¢ $9.5K — −$9.5K
Far-Off-Candidate
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 77¢ $8.5K — −$8.5K
All-Peasant-Drug
811 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $7.9K —
Well-Made-Sovereignty
106 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 79¢ $5.9K — −$5.9K
Yawning-Chicken
216 settled bets Worse than the odds
Natus Vincere @ 75¢ $5.4K — −$5.4K
Foolish-Mango
222 settled bets Can't tell from luck
M80 @ 31¢ $5.3K — +$12K
Nervous-Parallelogram
283 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 75¢ $4.5K — −$4.5K
Ill-Mind
102 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 80¢ $4.0K — −$4.0K
Sandy-Nightingale
163 settled bets Can't tell from luck
M80 @ 85¢ $1.8K $2.1K +$304
Legal-Booster
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 71¢ $3.7K — −$3.7K
Worst-Analogue
305 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 75¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Forthright-Phrase
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.2K —
Embellished-Signify-Shrine
22 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.1K —
Feisty-Mango-Blind
27 settled bets Worse than the odds
Natus Vincere @ 79¢ $3.1K — −$3.1K
Discrete-Century
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck
M80 @ 34¢ $2.8K — +$5.5K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds
M80 @ 46¢ $1.4K $1.2K +$1.5K
Distant-Pomelo
127 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 70¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Tedious-Pagan
293 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 75¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K

Where the whale money went

  1. Natus Vincere lost
    $110K
    75% of whale buying · 24 buyers
  2. M80 won
    $37K
    25% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $139K sold
  3. Natus Vincere lost
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $5.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 25 to Aug 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed