Faint-Business

0x0a5392910ef4f236c60d212b4b4cd2c82adb077b

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Faint-Business: +$72K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 52% (95% range 33%–71%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$72K
return +26.1%
Settled bets
23
$276K staked
Won
52.2%
95% range 33%–71%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$7.2K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$44K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$35K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 27 BUY LGD Gaming @ 39¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs $7.0K
Sep 27 BUY LGD Gaming @ 39¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs $10K
Sep 26 BUY Over @ 62¢
Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5
Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 $1.0K
Sep 26 SELL magic @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs $1.1K
Sep 26 BUY magic @ 50¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs $1.0K
Sep 26 BUY Natus Vincere @ 63¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs $8.8K
Sep 26 BUY Natus Vincere @ 62¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs $3.0K
Sep 26 BUY Natus Vincere @ 60¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs $2.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed