Homely-Modernist
0x88d17ad6bf91ca0935f6e70b37ebe3db92b618da
Homely-Modernist: +$21K on 24 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 58% (95% range 39%–76%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$21K
return +11.4%
Settled bets
24
$184K staked
Won
58.3%
95% range 39%–76%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$17K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$20K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$15K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY MOUZ
@ 59¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $8.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Alexander Bublik
@ 66¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac | $10K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Vitality
@ 57¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) | $5.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 39¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $4.9K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Spirit
@ 64¢
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5) | $9.9K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 65¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | $9.8K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Daniil Medvedev
@ 55¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $9.4K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Alex de Minaur
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz |
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | $26K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.