Polymarket market · Other

Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5

Resolved: Over won · See it on Polymarket ↗

15 whales put $338K into this market since Aug 26, 87% of their buying on Over. Over won. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$246K and 8 lost −$26K: +$220K between them.

The whales on this market

15 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Present-Grape-Drinking
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 53¢ $241K — +$214K
Superficial-Ticket
9 settled bets Too few bets
Under @ 48¢ $18K $14K −$4.0K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 50¢ $26K — +$26K
Metallic-Container
2 settled bets Too few bets
Under @ 47¢ $9.2K — −$9.2K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds*
Over @ 61¢ $5.5K — +$3.5K
Prickly-Clasp-Discount
219 settled bets Beat the odds*
Under @ 26¢ $5.1K — −$5.1K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 74¢ $5.0K — −$1.0K
Insubstantial-Sector
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 99¢ $3.2K — +$32
Perky-Oyster
2 settled bets Too few bets
Under @ 70¢ $3.1K — −$3.1K
Short-Term-Echidna-Sorrow
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 48¢ $1.5K — +$1.6K
Miserable-Poison
1,032 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 55¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 51¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Internal-Childhood
6 settled bets Too few bets
Under @ 41¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Silver-Cart-Hospitalisation
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 50¢ $1.2K — +$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Over won
    $281K
    87% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $1.4K sold
  2. Under lost
    $41K
    13% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $14K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed