Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner

Resolved: M80 won · See it on Polymarket ↗

32 whales put $136K into this market since Aug 26, 76% of their buying on Natus Vincere. M80 won. Of the 20 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$5.9K and 14 lost −$77K: −$71K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 32
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Natus Vincere @ 62¢ $49K — −$49K
Flaky-Integer
218 settled bets Can't tell from luck
M80 @ 54¢ $10K — +$648
Bony-Illness
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
M80 @ 99.85¢ $9.0K — +$13
Fitting-Birdbath
16 settled bets Too few bets
M80 @ 98¢ $2.0K $6.1K —
Grounded-Depression
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 55¢ $5.5K — −$5.5K
Charming-Instrumentalist
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 96¢ $1.5K $3.5K —
Monthly-Smuggling
2 settled bets Too few bets
Natus Vincere @ 62¢ $3.1K — −$3.1K
Caring-User
89 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 67¢ $3.1K — −$3.1K
Far-Off-Candidate
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.1K —
Murky-Toll
10 settled bets Too few bets
M80 @ 71¢ $3.0K — +$1.2K
Sharp-Cirrus
1 settled bets Too few bets
M80 @ 48¢ $1.1K $1.8K +$1.1K
Cooked-Imprisonment
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 75¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Suburban-Doctrine
11 settled bets Too few bets
Natus Vincere @ 75¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
405 settled bets Can't tell from luck
M80 @ 66¢ $2.2K — +$1.2K
Anxious-Marxism-Instructor
13 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.2K —
Every-Love
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Tedious-Pagan
293 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 62¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Worst-Analogue
305 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 62¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Nervous-Parallelogram
283 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 62¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Attractive-Nucleotide-Insurrection
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $1.6K —
All-Upper-Optimist
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
M80 @ 48¢ $1.6K — +$1.7K
Cautious-Backup
88 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 62¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Forthright-Phrase
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Reasonable-Protection
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Natus Vincere lost
    $82K
    76% of whale buying · 15 buyers
  2. M80 won
    $25K
    23% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $27K sold
  3. Natus Vincere lost
    $1.5K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $1.2K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed