Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

Resolved: PARIVISION won · See it on Polymarket ↗

49 whales put $444K into this market since Oct 1, 73% of their buying on Legacy. PARIVISION won. Of the 39 whales whose whole position we captured, 19 made +$68K and 20 lost −$235K: −$167K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 49
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Rosy-Trinket
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Legacy @ 45¢ $143K $2.1K −$141K
Taut-Semicolon
181 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Legacy @ 43¢ $25K $11K −$14K
Legal-Booster
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Legacy @ 45¢ $12K $23K —
Stable-Armament
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
PARIVISION @ 57¢ $25K — +$19K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
427 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Legacy @ 44¢ $20K — −$20K
Rash-Barometer
375 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Legacy @ 43¢ $19K — −$19K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
PARIVISION @ 71¢ $12K — −$571
Far-Off-Candidate
145 settled bets Can't tell from luck
PARIVISION @ 83¢ $5.0K $6.0K +$1.0K
Gregarious-Instrumentation
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
PARIVISION @ 30¢ $9.6K — +$23K
Flaky-Integer
277 settled bets Can't tell from luck
PARIVISION @ 64¢ $8.5K — +$2.8K
Creative-Midwife
170 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Legacy @ 44¢ $7.5K — −$7.5K
Worst-Analogue
366 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Legacy @ 68¢ $7.2K — −$3.2K
Charming-Instrumentalist
189 settled bets Can't tell from luck
PARIVISION @ 73¢ $3.0K $4.1K —
Scary-Pearl
251 settled bets Can't tell from luck
PARIVISION @ 98¢ $6.8K — +$116
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
PARIVISION @ 94¢ $6.4K — +$410
Nervous-Parallelogram
346 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Legacy @ 68¢ $6.2K — −$6.2K
Jolly-Grove
58 settled bets Can't tell from luck
PARIVISION @ 55¢ $2.0K $3.9K —
Tedious-Pagan
346 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Legacy @ 68¢ $5.7K — −$650
Homely-Modernist
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Legacy @ 44¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Jubilant-Comeback
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Legacy @ 77¢ $4.6K — −$4.6K
Better-Military
119 settled bets Can't tell from luck
PARIVISION @ 52¢ $4.2K — +$3.8K
Wrathful-Row
142 settled bets Can't tell from luck
PARIVISION @ 85¢ $4.1K — +$723
Fond-Cartilage
5 settled bets Too few bets
PARIVISION @ 51¢ $1.2K $2.7K —
Burly-Catalyst
3 settled bets Too few bets
PARIVISION @ 55¢ $1.3K $2.4K +$1.1K
Lively-Stirfry
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Legacy @ 49¢ $1.5K $2.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Legacy lost
    $273K
    73% of whale buying · 24 buyers · $38K sold
  2. PARIVISION won
    $103K
    27% of whale buying · 25 buyers · $30K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1 to Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed