Jubilant-Comeback

0x0b5a14b1c2f547cfd238b1123d228562f5721457

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Jubilant-Comeback: −$1.2K on 24 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 92% (95% range 74%–98%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$1.2K
return −0.8%
Settled bets
24
$141K staked
Won
91.7%
95% range 74%–98%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 24 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$925
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$1.2K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$3.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Vitality @ 98¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner $1.1K
Oct 7 BUY Karmine Corp Blue @ 92¢
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 Winner $1.0K
Oct 7 BUY Natus Vincere @ 97¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner $2.3K
Oct 6 BUY 9z @ 95¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner $1.1K
Oct 6 BUY PARIVISION @ 75¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $2.5K
Oct 6 BUY G2 @ 96¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner $3.2K
Oct 3 BUY Cloud9 @ 99¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner $3.5K
Oct 3 BUY Legacy @ 56¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed