Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Resolved: Spirit won · See it on Polymarket ↗

79 whales put $917K into this market since Oct 8, 56% of their buying on Spirit. Spirit won. Of the 72 whales whose whole position we captured, 20 made +$318K and 52 lost −$355K: −$37K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 79
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Well-Documented-Outrigger
135 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 59¢ $341K — +$237K
Misty-Request
178 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 42¢ $21K $23K —
Unwitting-Degradation-Attendant
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 34¢ $39K — −$39K
Utter-Grandparent-Coral
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 42¢ $30K — −$30K
Tinted-Southeast
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 76¢ $24K $3.1K +$7.5K
Rash-Barometer
375 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 58¢ $27K — +$19K
Only-Gutter
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 42¢ $26K — −$26K
Creative-Midwife
170 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 42¢ $23K — −$23K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
427 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 60¢ $22K — +$14K
Ugly-Laboratory
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 42¢ $21K — −$21K
Nocturnal-Fortress-Apartment
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 42¢ $19K — −$19K
Distant-Pomelo
158 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 59¢ $18K — +$12K
Grateful-Chest
226 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 42¢ $17K — −$17K
Double-Bricklaying
141 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 42¢ $16K — −$16K
Untimely-Spite
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 43¢ $15K — −$15K
Another-Dawn
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 22¢ $13K — −$13K
Lost-Property
107 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 34¢ $13K — −$13K
Our-Plane-Rutabaga
4 settled bets Too few bets
Spirit @ 58¢ $12K — +$8.8K
Gloomy-Marxism-Idiom
33 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $11K —
Disloyal-Backyard
32 settled bets Worse than the odds
Team Falcons @ 42¢ $9.7K — −$9.7K
Mealy-Collaboration
248 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 42¢ $9.5K — −$9.5K
Quixotic-Brow
128 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 42¢ $7.6K — −$7.6K
Spiffy-Revenue
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 42¢ $7.5K — −$7.5K
Yawning-Chicken
241 settled bets Worse than the odds
Spirit @ 98¢ $7.4K — +$166
Cuddly-Battalion
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spirit @ 59¢ $7.2K — +$5.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Spirit won
    $487K
    56% of whale buying · 21 buyers · $22K sold
  2. Team Falcons lost
    $383K
    44% of whale buying · 54 buyers · $25K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 8 to Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed