Another-Dawn
0x05625ca25b4b289f3be889fecc9f160a6f0118a4
Another-Dawn: −$26K on 40 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 24%–53%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$26K
return −17.6%
Settled bets
40
$145K staked
Won
37.5%
95% range 24%–53%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 31 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$24K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$13K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$15K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 22¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $13K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 45¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $9.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY FURIA
@ 48¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | $2.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 24¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 50¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 28¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $2.2K |
| Oct 5 | SELL M80
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $21K |
| Oct 5 | BUY MOUZ
@ 50¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | $3.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.