Untimely-Spite
0x99e42eb9038705165b22f821e27659c1dc41e4c4
Untimely-Spite: −$66K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 16%–56%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$66K
return −78.2%
Settled bets
18
$85K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 16%–56%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$32K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$9.6K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$24K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 43¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $12K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 45¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $3.3K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Sharks
@ 43¢
Sharks vs. Blues |
Sharks vs. Blues | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Trail Blazers
@ 82¢
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers |
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers | $2.5K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Vitality
@ 46¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | $7.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Astralis
@ 55¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs BIG - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs BIG - Map 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Quentin Halys
@ 30¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys |
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys | $3.6K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Astralis
@ 31¢
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.