Cuddly-Battalion
0x6f3e7f25baa7d2d49e15e2d2957ff3dec62cbcf8
Cuddly-Battalion: −$15K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 29%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$15K
return −10.2%
Settled bets
23
$146K staked
Won
47.8%
95% range 29%–67%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 23 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$9.8K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$3.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY K27
@ 50¢
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | $8.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Sinners
@ 69¢
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5) | $8.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Spirit
@ 59¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $7.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Alex Molcan
@ 29¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan | $2.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Spirit
@ 87¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $4.4K |
| Oct 5 | BUY FlyQuest
@ 41¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Rams
@ 63¢
Rams vs. Eagles |
Rams vs. Eagles | $7.7K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Alabama
@ 66¢
Alabama vs. Mississippi State |
Alabama vs. Mississippi State | $8.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.