Utter-Grandparent-Coral

0x0259b2054f046fe0ee8f3e075fdb85fc3ba9769e

Polymarket

Worse than the odds Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$37K
return +5.3%
Settled bets
44
$701K staked
Won
29.5%
95% range 18%–44%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 39 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$255 Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$95K Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$58K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 Sold Team Falcons at 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner $8.9K
Oct 6 Bought Team Falcons at 58¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $30K
Oct 6 Bought PARIVISION at 68¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $19K
Oct 6 Bought PARIVISION at 40¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $10K
Oct 6 Bought PARIVISION at 49¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner $7.0K
Oct 6 Bought PARIVISION at 47¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner $1.2K
Oct 5 Bought M80 at 64¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner $8.0K
Oct 5 Bought Legacy at 56¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner $5.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed