Polymarket market · Sports

Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur

Resolved: Alex de Minaur won · See it on Polymarket ↗

25 whales traded $137K on this market since Oct 31, 54% of their buying on Alexander Zverev. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 6 minutes later would have cost 3.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Alex de Minaur won, with 46% of the whale buying on it. Of the 17 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$38K and 12 lost −$38K: +$779 between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$29K on Alex de Minaur. Biggest loss: Monumental-Folk-Karate, −$6.4K on Alexander Zverev.

The whales on this market

25 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,811 settled bets Beat the odds*
Alex de Minaur @ 48¢ $39K — +$29K
Naughty-Tab
168 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Zverev @ 68¢ $11K $7.5K +$512
Cautious-Present
12 settled bets Too few bets
Alex de Minaur @ 23¢ $2.5K $11K —
Distant-Pomelo
237 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Zverev @ 56¢ $6.9K $2.4K −$4.5K
Monumental-Folk-Karate
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Zverev @ 57¢ $6.4K — −$6.4K
Plain-Apparatus-Acre
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Zverev @ 70¢ $5.7K — −$5.7K
Wrathful-Row
321 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alex de Minaur @ 72¢ $1.6K $3.9K —
Ajar-Thief-Rooster
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alex de Minaur @ 45¢ $4.9K — +$6.0K
Horrible-Recording
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Zverev @ 55¢ $4.7K — −$4.7K
Mean-Recruit-Idea
127 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Zverev @ 68¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,561 settled bets Beat the odds*
Alexander Zverev @ 68¢ $3.3K — −$3.3K
Unwritten-Female
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.2K —
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,368 settled bets Worse than the odds
Alexander Zverev @ 55¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Uniform-Comestible
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.1K —
0x02fd…104c
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Zverev @ 67¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Zigzag-Aardvark
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Zverev @ 56¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Luminous-Collision
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Substantial-Service
1,166 settled bets Beat the odds*
Alex de Minaur @ 57¢ $1.7K — +$1.3K
Anchored-Grit
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Snoopy-Feature
31 settled bets Worse than the odds
Alexander Zverev @ 71¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
0x249e…dca1
14 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Anxious-Shorts
28 settled bets Too few bets
Alexander Zverev @ 58¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Limited-Dragonfruit
61 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alex de Minaur @ 35¢ $1.1K — +$2.1K
Discrete-Enclosure
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —
Sore-Afterthought-Room
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Zverev @ 68¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Alexander Zverev lost
    $55K
    54% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $13K sold
  2. Alex de Minaur won
    $46K
    46% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $22K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5 $66K 11 Won: Under
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5 $149K 8 Won: Under
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-31? $55K 7 Won: No
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31? $328K 31 Won: Yes
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Jan-Lennard Struff $251K 13 Won: Jiri Lehecka
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino $68K 13 Won: Nuno Borges
Oilers vs. Islanders $57K 12 Won: Oilers
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31? $61K 15 Won: Yes
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed