Anxious-Shorts

0xd9476f80a7d12990b3a379b9173aa52fb07a7451

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Anxious-Shorts: +$5.4K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 28%–68%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$5.4K
return +37.0%
Settled bets
21
$15K staked
Won
47.6%
95% range 28%–68%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$5.6K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$1.3K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$1.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 28¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli $1.1K
Oct 7 SELL Arthur Gea @ 56¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria $1.1K
Oct 5 BUY Iga Swiatek @ 80¢
China Open: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatek
China Open: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatek $1.6K
Oct 4 SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 92¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov $5.5K
Oct 3 BUY Alex de Minaur @ 50¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys $1.0K
Oct 3 BUY Alejandro Tabilo @ 52¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo $1.0K
Sep 26 SELL Harold Mayot @ 99.9¢
St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone
St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone $3.0K
Sep 24 SELL Alex Barrena @ 99.9¢
Buenos Aires 2: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Alex Barrena
Buenos Aires 2: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Alex Barrena $1.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed