Luminous-Collision
0xe9d31c24fc8d6a4beb58ee1808fdbefd0e72079f
Luminous-Collision: +$7.9K on 46 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 34%–62%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$7.9K
return +13.4%
Settled bets
46
$59K staked
Won
47.8%
95% range 34%–62%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$2.3K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$7.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Dane Sweeny
@ 50¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Dane Sweeny vs Kimmer Coppejans |
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Dane Sweeny vs Kimmer Coppejans | $1.5K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Thiago Monteiro
@ 54¢
Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller |
Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller | $2.8K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Coco Gauff
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun |
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | $4.5K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 56¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $2.4K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Daniil Medvedev
@ 47¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $2.5K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Alex de Minaur
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz |
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | $3.3K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Carlos Alcaraz
@ 99.9¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar | $2.8K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Carlos Alcaraz
@ 76¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.