Sore-Afterthought-Room
Skill vs luck
Sore-Afterthought-Room on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 44%–100%) · profit +$210. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Sore-Afterthought-Room: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x1d1d408f7378a5ce9db1e796b15fb5574aebf2df. Data CC BY 4.0.
Sore-Afterthought-Room: +$210 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$210
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | BUY Daria Kasatkina @ 94¢ | Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Daria Kasatkina ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Over
@ 97¢
Wizards vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 |
Wizards vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Over
@ 97¢
Wizards vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 |
Wizards vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Over
@ 98¢
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5 |
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5 | $1.5K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?