Zigzag-Aardvark

0xd123211134d5dffbaaad1effd054f4b8a686d341

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Zigzag-Aardvark: −$4.5K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.5K
return −38.2%
Settled bets
6
$12K staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 3%–56%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$6
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$4.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 BUY Ryan Nijboer @ 60¢
Braga: Mackenzie McDonald vs Ryan Nijboer
Braga: Mackenzie McDonald vs Ryan Nijboer $2.4K
Oct 6 BUY G2 @ 39¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.1K
Oct 6 BUY Joel Schwaerzler @ 46¢
Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler
Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler $1.5K
Oct 5 BUY Terence Atmane @ 31¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Terence Atmane vs Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Terence Atmane vs Bernard Tomic $1.9K
Oct 1 BUY Nicolai Budkov Kjaer @ 49¢
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Felix Balshaw vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Felix Balshaw vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $1.4K
Oct 1 BUY Marat Sharipov @ 40¢
Jingshan: Andre Ilagan vs Marat Sharipov
Jingshan: Andre Ilagan vs Marat Sharipov $1.7K
Oct 1 BUY Learner Tien @ 58¢
China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz
China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz $3.4K
Sep 28 BUY Jerome Kym @ 48¢
Porto 2: Jerome Kym vs Tiago Torres
Porto 2: Jerome Kym vs Tiago Torres $3.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed