Monumental-Folk-Karate
Skill vs luck
Monumental-Folk-Karate on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$17K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Monumental-Folk-Karate: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xbfd40a4fcb43d80eb4fb425f75d4fa090c61526f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Monumental-Folk-Karate: +$17K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$17K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | SELL Wizards @ 99.9¢ | Wizards vs. Bulls ↗ | $134K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Mavericks @ 17¢ | Spurs vs. Mavericks ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Wizards @ 38¢ | Wizards vs. Bulls ↗ | $12K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?