Anchored-Grit

0x99fb27843152178165372024b0e022333421acba

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Anchored-Grit: +$7.5K on 44 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 34%–62%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$7.5K
return +9.7%
Settled bets
44
$77K staked
Won
47.7%
95% range 34%–62%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 23 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$717
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$12K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$4.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL Yi Zhou @ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti $1.1K
Oct 5 BUY Coco Gauff @ 86¢
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun $1.4K
Oct 4 SELL Mirra Andreeva @ 96¢
China Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Mirra Andreeva
China Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Mirra Andreeva $1.3K
Oct 1 BUY Keegan Smith @ 82¢
Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith
Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith $1.1K
Oct 1 SELL Learner Tien @ 53¢
China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz
China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz $1.3K
Sep 28 SELL Zsombor Piros @ 99.9¢
Bari: Zsombor Piros vs Benjamin Hassan
Bari: Zsombor Piros vs Benjamin Hassan $2.0K
Sep 28 SELL Zsombor Piros @ 99.9¢
Bari: Zsombor Piros vs Benjamin Hassan
Bari: Zsombor Piros vs Benjamin Hassan $2.1K
Sep 28 SELL Zsombor Piros @ 99.9¢
Bari: Zsombor Piros vs Benjamin Hassan
Bari: Zsombor Piros vs Benjamin Hassan $2.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed