Horrible-Recording
0x241adda58ed48866f0deec7867731dd84c5ba9c8
Horrible-Recording: +$2.8K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 64% (95% range 39%–84%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$2.8K
return +8.9%
Settled bets
14
$31K staked
Won
64.3%
95% range 39%–84%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$2.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Alexander Bublik
@ 47¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | $2.2K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Adrian Mannarino
@ 37¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli | $1.5K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Brandon Nakashima
@ 58¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima | $2.3K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Arthur Fery
@ 65¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | $2.9K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Zdenek Kolar
@ 64¢
Palermo: Zdenek Kolar vs Dimitris Sakellaridis |
Palermo: Zdenek Kolar vs Dimitris Sakellaridis | $3.9K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Daniil Medvedev
@ 33¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $1.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Daniil Medvedev
@ 58¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $2.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Bills
@ 63¢
Patriots vs. Bills |
Patriots vs. Bills | $4.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.