Discrete-Enclosure
Skill vs luck
Discrete-Enclosure on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 30%–95%) · profit +$97. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Discrete-Enclosure: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe032c22555bbf45447fe564d7fb447bf61a1ad82. Data CC BY 4.0.
Discrete-Enclosure: +$97 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- +$97
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | SELL Dylan Dietrich
@ 99.9¢
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Aidan Mayo |
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Aidan Mayo | $1.1K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Dylan Dietrich
@ 97¢
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Aidan Mayo |
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Aidan Mayo | $1.1K |
| Oct 31 | SELL Alex de Minaur @ 99.9¢ | Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Jiri Lehecka @ 96¢ | Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Jan-Lennard Struff ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Alex Molcan
@ 98¢
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier |
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier | $1.1K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.