Polymarket market · Sports

Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino

Resolved: Nuno Borges won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales traded $68K on this market since Oct 31, 54% of their buying on Adrian Mannarino. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 4.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Nuno Borges won, with 46% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$7.0K and 5 lost −$25K: −$18K between them. Biggest win: Grateful-Chest, +$4.6K on Nuno Borges. Biggest loss: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, −$12K on Adrian Mannarino.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Wrathful-Row
321 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nuno Borges @ 91¢ $10K $11K +$1.0K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,561 settled bets Beat the odds*
Adrian Mannarino @ 55¢ $12K — −$12K
Ajar-Thief-Rooster
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Adrian Mannarino @ 50¢ $6.0K — −$6.0K
Fuzzy-Patience-Parent
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nuno Borges @ 65¢ $2.0K $3.0K +$1.0K
Cavernous-Undershirt
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nuno Borges @ 89¢ $3.4K $1.3K −$2.1K
Scornful-Gym-Retreat
249 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Adrian Mannarino @ 48¢ $4.2K — −$4.2K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,811 settled bets Beat the odds*
Nuno Borges @ 70¢ $4.2K — +$224
Grateful-Chest
329 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nuno Borges @ 31¢ $2.5K $1.0K +$4.6K
0x3ec3…e330
25 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Spotless-Niche
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nuno Borges @ 93¢ $2.0K — +$152
Long-Biopsy
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Flawed-Infinite
203 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.0K —
Confused-Birthday
10 settled bets Too few bets
Adrian Mannarino @ 50¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Adrian Mannarino lost
    $25K
    54% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  2. Nuno Borges won
    $22K
    46% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $21K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Jan-Lennard Struff $251K 13 Won: Jiri Lehecka
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31? $61K 15 Won: Yes
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-31? $55K 7 Won: No
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5 $149K 8 Won: Under
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) $71K 6 Won: Cavaliers
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31? $141K 25 Won: No
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-31? $99K 10 Won: No
Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur $137K 25 Won: Alex de Minaur
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed