Polymarket market · Sports
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli
Resolved: Flavio Cobolli won · See it on Polymarket ↗
58 whales put $1.05M into this market since Aug 20, 86% of their buying on Tommy Paul. Flavio Cobolli won. Of the 39 whales whose whole position we captured, 13 made +$60K and 26 lost −$729K: −$669K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 58| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Tommy Paul @ 51¢ | $593K | — | −$480K |
| Frail-Possible
629 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tommy Paul @ 54¢ | $65K | — | −$56K |
| Ignorant-Bun
22 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Tommy Paul @ 51¢ | $51K | — | −$51K |
| Naughty-Tab
78 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tommy Paul @ 57¢ | $17K | $25K | — |
| Rash-Copying
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Flavio Cobolli @ 42¢ | $13K | $25K | +$15K |
| Severe-Confidentiality
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Flavio Cobolli @ 45¢ | $17K | $15K | +$7.3K |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Tommy Paul @ 53¢ | $25K | — | −$20K |
| Illustrious-Budget
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tommy Paul @ 74¢ | $19K | — | −$19K |
| Slow-Escape
336 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Tommy Paul @ 60¢ | $14K | — | −$14K |
| Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tommy Paul @ 51¢ | $14K | — | −$14K |
| Calm-Gossip
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Tommy Paul @ 51¢ | $12K | — | −$12K |
| Welcome-Revenue
215 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tommy Paul @ 51¢ | $7.7K | — | −$7.7K |
| Courageous-Robin
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Flavio Cobolli @ 38¢ | $7.6K | — | +$12K |
| Bumpy-Burden
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $7.1K | — |
| Yawning-Chicken
241 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Tommy Paul @ 51¢ | $6.4K | — | −$6.4K |
| Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tommy Paul @ 51¢ | $6.4K | — | −$6.4K |
| Flamboyant-Hummus-Advance
29 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Tommy Paul @ 61¢ | $6.0K | — | −$6.0K |
| Hilarious-Descent
15 settled bets Too few bets |
Flavio Cobolli @ 40¢ | $1.0K | $4.1K | — |
| Frosty-Layer-Numismatist
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $5.1K | — |
| Dazzling-Hybridization-Calculation
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tommy Paul @ 61¢ | $4.9K | — | −$4.9K |
| Practical-Advent
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tommy Paul @ 82¢ | $4.8K | — | −$4.8K |
| Radiant-Birdhouse
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Tommy Paul @ 61¢ | $4.6K | — | −$4.6K |
| Flimsy-Notebook
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Tommy Paul @ 53¢ | $2.9K | $1.6K | −$1.3K |
| Accomplished-Mincemeat
17 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.3K | — |
| Shameful-Delay
119 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Tommy Paul @ 75¢ | $2.7K | $1.3K | −$1.4K |
Where the whale money went
-
Tommy Paul lost$807K86% of whale buying · 28 buyers · $25K sold
-
Flavio Cobolli won$127K14% of whale buying · 18 buyers · $95K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).