Radiant-Birdhouse
0xc3c3b3ef304ddbea39fa2246e683a71da5d0eec8
Radiant-Birdhouse: −$96K on 125 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 31%–48%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$96K
return −27.6%
Settled bets
125
$347K staked
Won
39.2%
95% range 31%–48%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 121 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$96K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3 | BUY No
@ 51¢
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-03? |
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-03? | $4.1K |
| Sep 3 | BUY Over
@ 57¢
FC Lugano vs. Servette Geneva: O/U 2.5 |
FC Lugano vs. Servette Geneva: O/U 2.5 | $1.3K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Yes
@ 38¢
Will Santos FC win on 2026-09-02? |
Will Santos FC win on 2026-09-02? | $2.3K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Yes
@ 55¢
Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-09-02? |
Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-09-02? | $2.8K |
| Sep 2 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
FC Luzern vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 3.5 |
FC Luzern vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 3.5 | $5.0K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Lloyd Harris
@ 32¢
US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas |
US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | $1.3K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Dino Prizmic
@ 19¢
US Open ATP: Dino Prizmic vs Tommy Paul |
US Open ATP: Dino Prizmic vs Tommy Paul | $1.9K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Under
@ 54¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 |
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.